Game Result Predictions
Monday, February 11
Monday, February 11
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Coleman Coliseum | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Kentucky (25-8, Road 6-4) |
68 | 68 | -10.0 | 80% | 126 | ✔ | 70 | -15.5 | 100% | ✔ | |
|
Alabama (14-17, Home 9-6) |
53 | 58 | +10.0 | 20% | Actual: 121 (-5) |
55 | +15.5 | 0% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| T.M. Elmore Gymnasium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (2-19, Road 1-11) |
54 | 47 | +16.0 | 10% | 110 | ✔ | 48 | +12.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
|
Alabama A&M (13-17, Home 6-7) |
60 | 63 | -16.0 | 90% | Actual: 114 (4) |
61 | -12.5 | 99% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Dunn-Oliver Acadome | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Mississippi Valley State (6-24, Road 3-16) |
67 | 63 | +7.0 | 27% | 133 | ✔ | 58 | +15.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
Alabama State (10-19, Home 6-6) |
73 | 70 | -7.0 | 73% | Actual: 140 (7) |
73 | -15.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Davey Whitney Complex | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Grambling (16-16, Road 6-11) |
79 | 70 | -8.0 | 76% | 132 | ✔ | 75 | -19.5 | 100% | ✔ | |
|
Alcorn State (3-24, Home 2-9) |
63 | 62 | +8.0 | 24% | Actual: 142 (10) |
56 | +19.5 | 0% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Moore Gymnasium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Howard (18-13, Road 9-8) |
63 | 67 | +3.0 | 39% | 137 | ✔ | 62 | +12.0 | 1% | ✔ | |
|
Bethune-Cookman (19-11, Home 8-3) |
76 | 70 | -3.0 | 61% | Actual: 139 (2) |
74 | -12.0 | 99% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| XL Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
South Carolina (23-10, Road 9-2) |
79 | 64 | +20.0 | 6% | 148 | ✔ | 65 | +17.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
Connecticut (35-3, Home 13-0) |
97 | 84 | -20.0 | 94% | Actual: 176 (28) |
82 | -17.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Al Lawson Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Norfolk State (15-15, Road 5-9) |
69 | 61 | -16.0 | 90% | 106 | ✔ | 60 | -14.5 | 99% | ✔ | |
|
Florida A&M (3-25, Home 2-8) |
45 | 45 | +16.0 | 10% | Actual: 114 (8) |
45 | +14.5 | 1% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Steinberg Wellness Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Mount Saint Mary's (14-16, Road 6-12) |
61 | 71 | -9.0 | 78% | 133 | ✘ | 72 | -12.0 | 99% | ✘ | |
|
Long Island (4-25, Home 3-10) |
71 | 62 | +9.0 | 22% | Actual: 132 (-1) |
60 | +12.0 | 1% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Breslin Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Indiana (21-13, Road 6-7) |
61 | 68 | +7.0 | 27% | 143 | ✔ | 68 | +5.0 | 13% | ✔ | |
|
Michigan State (21-12, Home 15-1) |
77 | 75 | -7.0 | 73% | Actual: 138 (-5) |
73 | -5.0 | 87% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Corbett Sports Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Maryland Eastern Shore (15-14, Road 8-10) |
58 | 54 | +6.0 | 30% | 114 | ✔ | 51 | +11.0 | 2% | ✔ | |
|
North Carolina A&T (19-11, Home 8-3) |
70 | 60 | -6.0 | 70% | Actual: 128 (14) |
62 | -11.0 | 98% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| McDougald-McLendon Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Delaware State (5-21, Road 0-15) |
64 | 66 | +4.0 | 36% | 136 | ✔ | 64 | +8.0 | 6% | ✔ | |
|
North Carolina Central (8-22, Home 5-9) |
65 | 70 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 129 (-7) |
72 | -8.0 | 94% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| UPMC Events Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Central Connecticut (7-21, Road 3-12) |
40 | 47 | +18.0 | 8% | 112 | ✔ | 40 | +30.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
Robert Morris (21-11, Home 14-3) |
60 | 65 | -18.0 | 92% | Actual: 100 (-12) |
71 | -30.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| The Nest | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Northern Colorado (21-11, Road 10-7) |
71 | 76 | -8.0 | 76% | 144 | ✔ | 79 | -14.0 | 99% | ✔ | |
|
Sacramento State (9-19, Home 4-9) |
61 | 68 | +8.0 | 24% | Actual: 132 (-12) |
65 | +14.0 | 1% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| William H. Pitt Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Fairleigh Dickinson (6-22, Road 2-14) |
62 | 51 | +16.0 | 10% | 118 | ✔ | 47 | +23.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
Sacred Heart (19-13, Home 10-5) |
68 | 67 | -16.0 | 90% | Actual: 130 (12) |
70 | -23.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| DeGol Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Bryant (11-19, Road 4-12) |
66 | 72 | +5.0 | 33% | 149 | ✔ | 69 | +10.0 | 3% | ✔ | |
|
Saint Francis (PA) (15-17, Home 9-4) |
78 | 77 | -5.0 | 67% | Actual: 144 (-5) |
79 | -10.0 | 97% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Tiger Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Morgan State (9-20, Road 4-10) |
35 | 59 | +2.0 | 42% | 120 | ✔ | 60 | -0.5 | 55% | ✘ | |
|
Savannah State (5-19, Home 2-9) |
53 | 61 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 88 (-32) |
59 | +0.5 | 45% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| S-H-M Memorial Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Coppin State (5-25, Road 2-16) |
55 | 52 | +14.0 | 12% | 118 | ✔ | 53 | +12.0 | 2% | ✔ | |
|
South Carolina State (14-16, Home 6-6) |
60 | 66 | -14.0 | 88% | Actual: 115 (-3) |
65 | -12.0 | 98% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| F. G. Clark Activity Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Jackson State (16-14, Road 5-9) |
59 | 63 | +1.0 | 46% | 127 | ✘ | 59 | +7.5 | 6% | ✘ | |
|
Southern (17-12, Home 8-3) |
52 | 64 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 111 (-16) |
66 | -7.5 | 94% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Spiro Sports Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Saint Francis (NY) (17-13, Road 7-7) |
85 | 79 | -7.0 | 73% | 151 | ✘ | 78 | -7.0 | 92% | ✘ | |
|
Wagner (9-20, Home 5-7) |
87 | 72 | +7.0 | 27% | Actual: 172 (21) |
71 | +7.0 | 8% | |||